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Sciencecloses in 4mo

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET. The "7.9 or below" bracket covers any case in which the highest-magnitude earthquake during this market's…

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$190
Markets
7
4 Jan 2027
ScienceWeatherearthquakeEarthquakesNatural Disaster

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker