Politicscloses in 1mo

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hormuz Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hormuz Island, and another state…

24h volume

$3.7K

Total volume

$54.8K

Liquidity

$54.3K

Markets

31 Aug 2026

IranKhameneiGeopoliticsIran RegimeU.S. x IranIran CeasefireMojtaba KhameneiStrait of Hormuz

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.