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Politicscloses in 2d

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Israel by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT, GMT+3). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the …

24h volume
$378
Total volume
$91.7K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Markets
3
31 Jul 2026
IranYemenIsraelHouthisGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsrael x Iran

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.