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Politicscloses in 18d

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Israel by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT, GMT+3). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the …

As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 8% implied probability. The event has traded $183.1K in total ($377 in the last 24h) with $16.8K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 30 September 2026.

24h volume
$377
Total volume
$183.1K
Liquidity
$16.8K
Markets
5
30 Sept 2026
IranYemenIsraelHouthisGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsrael x Iran

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 30
Yes7.6¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$4.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.