Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period during which neither the Houthis nor Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against the other, following a qualifying military action (or market creation) that occurs on or before the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market wil…
As of 1 November 2026, "October 31" leads at 1% implied probability (-5.2pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 15", from 20% to 13%. The event has traded $109.9K in total ($5.4K in the last 24h) with $64.1K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.