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Politicscloses in 6d

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces seize control of an oil tanker or a commercial vessel transporting oil as cargo between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah)…

As of 26 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 6% implied probability. The event has traded $145.5K in total ($61 in the last 24h) with $11.0K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.

24h volume
$61
Total volume
$145.5K
Liquidity
$11.0K
Markets
3
1 Nov 2026
OilIranshipYemenHouthisoil shipGeopoliticsMiddle East

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 31
Yes5.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$36.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker