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Politicscloses in 5d

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strike…

As of 10 September 2026, "September 11" leads at 48% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $136 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 15 September 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$136
Markets
3
15 Sept 2026
OilIranYemenHouthisGeopoliticsMiddle East

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketSeptember 11
Yes48.0¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker