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Economycloses in 5mo

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "…

24h volume
$345
Total volume
$260.1K
Liquidity
$19.7K
Markets
10
31 Dec 2026
EconomyJerome PowellFed RatesTreasuriesFinance

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.