How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Outcome: 5.25%, 5.10%, 5.05%, 5.20%, 5.00%, 4.97%, 4.82%, 4.91%, 4.94%, 5.17%, 5.15%, 4.88%, 4.85%. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 29 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value…
This market settled on 29 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $96.6K across 13 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
13 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.