How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or o…
As of 16 October 2026, "4.95%" leads at 53% implied probability (+20.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "4.92%", from 50% to 62%. The event has traded $11.7K in total ($1.1K in the last 24h) with $883 of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.