How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value,…
As of 18 October 2026, "6.00%" leads at 14% implied probability (-0.8pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "5.70%", from 57% to 68%. The event has traded $240.1K in total ($2.4K in the last 24h) with $16.8K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
10 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.