How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available fo…
As of 16 October 2026, "Below 4.64%" leads at 32% implied probability. The event has traded $7.7K in total ($1.5K in the last 24h) with $659 of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.