Sciencecloses in 8mo
How low will Lake Mead drop?
This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 20…
24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$189
Markets
4
15 Apr 2027
waterDroughtWeatherUnited StatesClimate & ScienceNatural Disasters
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
4 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.