How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?

Market resolved

Outcome: >13. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 4 Aug 2026

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with …

This market settled on 4 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $40.1K across 9 Polymarket markets.

24h volume

$27

Total volume

$40.1K

Liquidity

$759

Markets

2 Aug 2026

ScienceWeatherearthquakeEarthquakesNatural Disaster

Probability over time

Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

9 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.