How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?
Outcome: ≤6. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 6 Oct 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, …
This market settled on 6 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $30.1K across 9 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.