How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, w…
As of 16 October 2026, "1" leads at 1% implied probability (+0.1pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $7.3K in total ($166 in the last 24h) with $7.8K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 19 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.