How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 28 - October 4?
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, …
As of 25 September 2026, "2" leads at 14% implied probability. The event has traded $34 in total ($34 in the last 24h) with $2.6K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 5 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.