How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.u…
As of 12 September 2026, "11–13" leads at 15% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $1.4M in total ($134 in the last 24h) with $8.1K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
7 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.