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How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is …

24h volume
$158
Total volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$130.4K
Markets
16
31 Dec 2026
strikeForeign PolicyWorldGeopolitics

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Markets and probabilities

16 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker