How many Knesset members will abstain or not vote on the new Israeli government?
Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government. This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who do not vote “For” or “Against” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this e…
As of 5 November 2026, "No vote by February 28" leads at 41% implied probability (-8.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $201 in total ($185 in the last 24h) with $3.6K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 March 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.