Politicscloses in 3d

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 3?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 3, 2026, through August 9, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Po…

24h volume

$4.0K

Total volume

$9.7K

Liquidity

$34.9K

Markets

9 Aug 2026

OilIranYemenHormuztankerHouthisshippingGeopoliticsBab el-MandebStrait of Hormuz

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.