How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Por…
As of 16 October 2026, "<20" leads at 12% implied probability (-1.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $27.2K in total ($2.7K in the last 24h) with $66.8K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 12 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.