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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchp…

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$489.6K
Liquidity
$27.8K
Markets
8
31 Dec 2026
SpaceXSpaceScienceElon MuskClimate & Science

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

8 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker