How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win?
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Magistrate elections for Taiwan’s special municipalities, counties, and cities won by the Kuomintang (KMT) during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate…
As of 3 November 2026, "≤7" leads at 51% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $1 of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.