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Politicscloses in 1mo

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026. For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers designated CVN (e.g., …

As of 16 October 2026, "1" leads at 10% implied probability (-17.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "2", from 47% to 36%. The event has traded $6.6K in total ($1.2K in the last 24h) with $70.8K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.

24h volume
$1.2K
Total volume
$6.6K
Liquidity
$70.8K
Markets
5
1 Dec 2026
NavySailorMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastUnited StatesMilitary Actions

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market1
Yes9.5¢
24h Chg-17.0pp
Mkt Vol$2.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.