ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any Immigration and Customs Enforcement employee for their involvement in the shooting of Oscar Belgal in the Marble Hill neighborhood of Manhattan, New York City …
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 21% implied probability (+6.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 86% to 79%. The event has traded $1.2K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $11.0K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.