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Politics● closed

Iceland EU referendum passes?

The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum he…

As of 18 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 0% implied probability (-0.2pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $258.0K in total ($199 in the last 24h) with $22.5K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 30 August 2026.

24h volume
$199
Total volume
$258.0K
Liquidity
$22.5K
Markets
1
30 Aug 2026
EuropeicelandPoliticselectionreferendumEuropean Union ElectionsIceland EU Referendum

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Yes0.4¢
24h Chg-0.2pp
Mkt Vol$258.0K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.