IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease record diesel prices. You can read more about that here: [https://www.reuters.…
As of 16 October 2026, "December 31" leads at 33% implied probability (+14.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 18% to 34%. The event has traded $6.1K in total ($322 in the last 24h) with $746 of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.