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Politicscloses in 1mo

Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory

The 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes rece…

As of 21 September 2026, "Republican Wins" leads at 3% implied probability. The event has traded $1.8K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $62.2K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$62.2K
Markets
10
3 Nov 2026
MidtermsPoliticsElectionsMidterm MOVIllinois MidtermGovernor midtermsMargin of Victory

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketRepublican Wins
Yes3.4¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$359
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.