Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, …
As of 12 September 2026, "October 31" leads at 20% implied probability (+7.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "September 30", from 6% to 14%. The event has traded $2.9M in total ($26.6K in the last 24h) with $68.3K of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.