Othercloses in 1mo

Iran full airspace closure by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is …

24h volume

$159.4K

Total volume

$6.8M

Liquidity

$73.5K

Markets

31 Aug 2026

IrancloseU.S. x IranIsrael x IranIran Ceasefire

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.