Politicscloses in 1mo

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Iranian military operation which remains on the ground inside the territory o…

24h volume

$9.5K

Total volume

$598.7K

Liquidity

$140.2K

Markets

31 Aug 2026

IranKuwaitmilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle East

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.