Iran leader end of 2026?
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at…
As of 12 September 2026, "Mojtaba Khamenei" leads at 85% implied probability (-0.4pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $39.4M in total ($44.3K in the last 24h) with $2.0M of liquidity across 123 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
123 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.