Politicscloses in 5mo

Iran leadership change by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he i…

24h volume

$129.9K

Total volume

$21.2M

Liquidity

$374.1K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

PoliticsIranIran RegimeGeopoliticsMojtabaayatollahKhameneiMojtaba KhameneiKhamenei outMojtaba out

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.