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Politicscloses in 2d

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran takes a qualifying military action against a Gulf State on the specified date Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying Gulf States are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. A qualifying …

24h volume
$72.2K
Total volume
$2.5M
Liquidity
$160.8K
Markets
23
31 Jul 2026
IranqatarGeopoliticssaudi arabiaIran Ceasefire

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

23 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Iran military action against a gulf state on...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker