Politicscloses in 5mo

Iran Nuke before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

24h volume

$2.2K

Total volume

$1.2M

Liquidity

$84.7K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

NuclearPoliticsWorldGeopoliticsIranMiddle East

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.