Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, p…
As of 20 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 12% implied probability (-2.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 39% to 35%. The event has traded $2.5M in total ($27.6K in the last 24h) with $88.1K of liquidity across 9 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
9 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.