Iran successfully targets shipping by...?
Outcome: August 9, August 16, August 31, September 30. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 9 Aug 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation, and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Ir…
This market settled on 9 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $65.5K across 4 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.