Iran successfully targets shipping by...?
Outcome: August 31. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 8 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian force…
This market settled on 8 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $37.2K across 2 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
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2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.