Politicscloses in 1mo

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by t…

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

$5.7K

Markets

31 Aug 2026

IranseizestrikeGeopoliticsU.S. x IranIran Ceasefire

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

31 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.