Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consen…
As of 12 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 10% implied probability (+2.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $2.1M in total ($12 in the last 24h) with $13.8K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.