Israel closes its airspace by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian ai…
As of 12 September 2026, "September 30" leads at 98% implied probability (+1.6pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $30.3M in total ($148.5K in the last 24h) with $168.3K of liquidity across 19 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
19 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.