Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset took place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Likud and at least one Arab party are both included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An Arab party is defined as a …
As of 28 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 29% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $34 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.