Politicscloses in 4mo

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if participation by Israeli military personnel in a ground operation in Iran on or after February 28, 2026, is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli milit…

24h volume

Total volume

$1.7M

Liquidity

$22.5K

Markets

1 Jan 2027

GeopoliticsIsraelIranMiddle EastIsrael x Iran

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.