Israel military action against Iraq by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Iraq by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that dire…
As of 7 November 2026, "October 31" leads at 6% implied probability. The event has traded $9.8K in total ($204 in the last 24h) with $365 of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.