Politicscloses in 28d
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Israel Daylight Time (IDT). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly im…
24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$11
Markets
28
1 Oct 2026
IsraelstrikeLebanonHezbollahGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsrael x Iran
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
28 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.