Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Outcome: September 30, September 9, September 8, September 26, September 14, September 29, September 12, September 19, September 28, September 10, September 6, September 16, September 7, September 13, September 5, September 27, September 21, September 20, September 11, September 3, September 22, September 15, September 17, September 23, September 25, September 24, September 4. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 1 Oct 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Israel Daylight Time (IDT). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly im…
This market settled on 1 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $569.2K across 28 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
28 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.