Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of tourist arrivals to Israel is below 40,000 for any of the following months: November 2026, December 2026, or January 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Each month will be considered on its own; figures will not be summed or averaged across months. Subj…
As of 29 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 51% implied probability. The event has traded $40 in total ($60 in the last 24h) with $351 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 February 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.