Politicscloses in 5mo
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages. A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hama…
24h volume
$486
Total volume
$2.8M
Liquidity
$16.1K
Markets
9
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsGazaGeopoliticsIsraelMiddle EastWorldTrumpTrump PresidencyTrump-Netanyahu
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
9 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.