Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Market resolved

Outcome: No. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 1 Aug 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will …

24h volume

$16

Total volume

$10.0M

Liquidity

$80.7K

Markets

31 May 2026

GeopoliticsIranIsraelIsrael x IranIran CeasefireLebanonHezbollahPeace Deal

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

5 markets

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