Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the ceasefire between Israel and Iran ends before Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If neither the end of the ceasefire nor Benjamin Netanyahu ceasing to be Prime Minister of Israel occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 …
As of 21 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 51% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $321 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.