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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Market resolved

Outcome: No. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 1 Aug 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanentl…

24h volume
$3.2K
Total volume
$12.2M
Liquidity
$92.6K
Markets
7
31 May 2026
GeopoliticsLebanonIran CeasefireIsraelIranIsrael x IranHezbollahPeace Deal

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? — result: No · Polytracker